H-Model Terminal Value
The H-model is a closed-form smoothing of two-stage DCF. Growth fades linearly from a high initial rate to a stable long-run rate over a period 2H years, where H is half the high-growth window.
The H-model equation
Where gS is the initial short-term growth rate, gL is the long-run stable growth rate, r is the discount rate, and H is half the length of the high-growth window. The first term is the stable-perpetuity value; the second term is the value of the excess growth that fades over 2H years.
And when it does not
Mid-sized growth companies converging on industry maturity over a defined window. The linear-fade assumption matches the real pattern reasonably well.
Biotech with a binary trial outcome. Commodity producers with sharp cycle inflections. The H-model smooths exactly what you want to model explicitly.